I’ve sometimes used “crux weight” for a related but different concept—how important that crux is to a decision. I’d propose “crux belief strength” for your topic—that part of it fits very well into a Bayesean framework for evidence.
Most decisions (for me, as far as I can tell) are overdetermined—there are multiple cruxes, with different weights and credences, which add up to more than 51% “best”. They’re inter-correlated, but not perfectly, so it’s REALLY tricky to be very explicit or legible in advance what would actually change my mind.
I’ve sometimes used “crux weight” for a related but different concept—how important that crux is to a decision. I’d propose “crux belief strength” for your topic—that part of it fits very well into a Bayesean framework for evidence.
Most decisions (for me, as far as I can tell) are overdetermined—there are multiple cruxes, with different weights and credences, which add up to more than 51% “best”. They’re inter-correlated, but not perfectly, so it’s REALLY tricky to be very explicit or legible in advance what would actually change my mind.