I still stand by what I said. However, I hope I’m wrong.
(I don’t think adding scaffolding and small amounts of fine-tuning on top of Llama 3.1 will be enough to get to AGI. AGI will be achieved by big corporations spending big compute on big RL runs.)
In particular, imagine as a counterfactual, that the research community discovers how to build AGI with relatively moderate compute starting from Llama 3.1 as a base, and that this discovery happens in public. Would this be a positive development, if we compare it to the default “single winner” path?
I still stand by what I said. However, I hope I’m wrong.
(I don’t think adding scaffolding and small amounts of fine-tuning on top of Llama 3.1 will be enough to get to AGI. AGI will be achieved by big corporations spending big compute on big RL runs.)
Interesting, thanks!
Do you think a multipolar scenario is better?
In particular, imagine as a counterfactual, that the research community discovers how to build AGI with relatively moderate compute starting from Llama 3.1 as a base, and that this discovery happens in public. Would this be a positive development, if we compare it to the default “single winner” path?