Thanks! I don’t think the arguments you make undermine my core points. Point by point reply:
--Vietnam, Hamas, etc. have dense tunnel networks but not anywhere near dense enough. My theory predicts that there will be a phase shift at some point where it is easier to attack underground than aboveground. Clearly, it is not easier for Israel or the USA to attack underground than aboveground! And this is for several reasons, but one of them is that the networks aren’t dense enough—Hamas has many tunnels but there is still more attack surface on land than underground. --Yes, layout of tunnels is unknown to attackers. This is the thing I was referencing when I said you can’t scout from the air. --Again, with land mines and other such traps, as tunnel density increases eventually you will need more mines to defend underground than you would need to defend aboveground!!! At this point the phase shift occurs and attackers will prefer to attack underground, mines be damned—because the mines will actually be sparser / rarer underground! --Psychological burden is downstream of the already-discussed factors so if the above factors favor attacking underground, so will the psychological factors. --Yes, if the density of the network is not approximately constant, such that e.g. there is a ‘belt of low density’ around the city, then obviously that belt is a good place to set up defenses. This is fighting my hypothetical rather than disagreeing with it though; you are saying basically ‘yeah but what if it’s not dense in some places, then those places would be hard to attack.’ Yes. My point simply was that in place with sufficiently dense tunnel networks, underground attacks would be easier than overground attacks.
Thanks! I don’t think the arguments you make undermine my core points. Point by point reply:
--Vietnam, Hamas, etc. have dense tunnel networks but not anywhere near dense enough. My theory predicts that there will be a phase shift at some point where it is easier to attack underground than aboveground. Clearly, it is not easier for Israel or the USA to attack underground than aboveground! And this is for several reasons, but one of them is that the networks aren’t dense enough—Hamas has many tunnels but there is still more attack surface on land than underground.
--Yes, layout of tunnels is unknown to attackers. This is the thing I was referencing when I said you can’t scout from the air.
--Again, with land mines and other such traps, as tunnel density increases eventually you will need more mines to defend underground than you would need to defend aboveground!!! At this point the phase shift occurs and attackers will prefer to attack underground, mines be damned—because the mines will actually be sparser / rarer underground!
--Psychological burden is downstream of the already-discussed factors so if the above factors favor attacking underground, so will the psychological factors.
--Yes, if the density of the network is not approximately constant, such that e.g. there is a ‘belt of low density’ around the city, then obviously that belt is a good place to set up defenses. This is fighting my hypothetical rather than disagreeing with it though; you are saying basically ‘yeah but what if it’s not dense in some places, then those places would be hard to attack.’ Yes. My point simply was that in place with sufficiently dense tunnel networks, underground attacks would be easier than overground attacks.