Even with that as the goal this model is useless—social distancing demonstrably does not lead to 0 new infections. Even Wuhan didn’t manage that, and they were literally welding people’s doors shut.
But don’t you see—those infections are a second wave, so do not have to be counted. The model is almost tautologically true that way. But terribly misleading, and very irresponsibly so.
Even with that as the goal this model is useless—social distancing demonstrably does not lead to 0 new infections. Even Wuhan didn’t manage that, and they were literally welding people’s doors shut.
But don’t you see—those infections are a second wave, so do not have to be counted. The model is almost tautologically true that way. But terribly misleading, and very irresponsibly so.