Minor quibble which I hope isn’t breaking a norm: BetFair did seem to pay out last week, or at least some of the bets on who would win the presidency were settled on 07/11/20.
Do you expect we’ll be n the midst of a third wave before the vaccine begins to be doled out? Or just beginning to enter one?
- State markets, excluding (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI)
They haven’t settled the big market (Next President) nor any of the key states which are “contested” (for whatever definition of contested you’re interested in) (or any of the vote percentage, EC handicap markets etc).
It’s possible the sportsbook settled the presidential market, but that’s a very different beast to the exchange. (Lots of “normal” bookies have already settled the presidential market)
Minor quibble which I hope isn’t breaking a norm: BetFair did seem to pay out last week, or at least some of the bets on who would win the presidency were settled on 07/11/20.
Do you expect we’ll be n the midst of a third wave before the vaccine begins to be doled out? Or just beginning to enter one?
Thanks for the post.
I think we are in the third wave now, and that seems unambiguous. Unless there are delays it will not be over when th vaccine is being rolled out.
As far as I can tell the exchange settled:
- Nominee markets
- State markets, excluding (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, WI)
They haven’t settled the big market (Next President) nor any of the key states which are “contested” (for whatever definition of contested you’re interested in) (or any of the vote percentage, EC handicap markets etc).
It’s possible the sportsbook settled the presidential market, but that’s a very different beast to the exchange. (Lots of “normal” bookies have already settled the presidential market)