I’m not sure I understand. You and I, as far as I know, have the same beliefs about world energy consumption in 2027, at least on our median timelines. I think it could be higher, but only if AGI timelines are a lot shorter than I think and takeoff is a lot faster than I think. And in those worlds we probably won’t be around to resolve the bet in 2027, nor would I care much about winning that bet anyway. (Money post-singularity will be much less valuable to me than money before the singularity)
I’m not sure I understand. You and I, as far as I know, have the same beliefs about world energy consumption in 2027, at least on our median timelines. I think it could be higher, but only if AGI timelines are a lot shorter than I think and takeoff is a lot faster than I think. And in those worlds we probably won’t be around to resolve the bet in 2027, nor would I care much about winning that bet anyway. (Money post-singularity will be much less valuable to me than money before the singularity)