There’s a huge difference between “we have AI methods that can solve general problems” and “we have AI methods that, when wielded by a team of the world’s leading AI engineers for months or years of development, can solve general problems”. Most straightforwardly, there is a very limited supply of the world’s leading engineers and so this doesn’t scale.
One possibility is that AI capabilities might proceed to become easier to wield over time, so that more and more people can wield it, and it takes less and less time to achieve useful things using it.
The biggest question in my mind is: does GPT-4 take this from “the worlds leading engineers can apply AI to any problem” to “anyone who can write a few lines of python can apply AI to any problem” or possibly even “GPT-4 can apply AI to any problem”.
While I agree, there is a positive social feedback mechanism going on right now, where AI/Neural Networks are a very interesting AND well paid field to go into AND the field is young, so a new bright student can be up to speed quite quickly. More motivated smart people leading to more breakthroughs, making AIs more impressive and useful, closing the feedback loop.
I have no doubt that the mainstream popularity of ChatGPT right now decides quite a few career choices.
There’s a huge difference between “we have AI methods that can solve general problems” and “we have AI methods that, when wielded by a team of the world’s leading AI engineers for months or years of development, can solve general problems”. Most straightforwardly, there is a very limited supply of the world’s leading engineers and so this doesn’t scale.
One possibility is that AI capabilities might proceed to become easier to wield over time, so that more and more people can wield it, and it takes less and less time to achieve useful things using it.
Ageed.
The biggest question in my mind is: does GPT-4 take this from “the worlds leading engineers can apply AI to any problem” to “anyone who can write a few lines of python can apply AI to any problem” or possibly even “GPT-4 can apply AI to any problem”.
While I agree, there is a positive social feedback mechanism going on right now, where AI/Neural Networks are a very interesting AND well paid field to go into AND the field is young, so a new bright student can be up to speed quite quickly. More motivated smart people leading to more breakthroughs, making AIs more impressive and useful, closing the feedback loop.
I have no doubt that the mainstream popularity of ChatGPT right now decides quite a few career choices.