I don’t think the model applies once you get to strongly superhuman systems—so, by mid-2027 in the scenario depicted. At that point, yeah, I’d expect the whole economy to be furiously bootstrapping towards nanotech or maybe even there already. Then the dissassemblies begin.
Also, as I mentioned, I think the model might overestimate the speed at which new AI advances can be rolled out into the economy, and converted into higher GDP and more/better hardware. Thus I think we completely agree.
I don’t think the model applies once you get to strongly superhuman systems—so, by mid-2027 in the scenario depicted. At that point, yeah, I’d expect the whole economy to be furiously bootstrapping towards nanotech or maybe even there already. Then the dissassemblies begin.
Also, as I mentioned, I think the model might overestimate the speed at which new AI advances can be rolled out into the economy, and converted into higher GDP and more/better hardware. Thus I think we completely agree.