Yeah, good point. I should have asked “how many people are there who would have a >40% chance of winning if they were selected.” Seems like David’s answer would be about 5% (so, a few million) given the breakdown given above.
Say there’s 5% chance they’re equally or more electable, 2% they’re substantially more electable.
That’s what you’re after, right?
Yes, exactly. That’s why I said “millions.”
Yeah, good point. I should have asked “how many people are there who would have a >40% chance of winning if they were selected.” Seems like David’s answer would be about 5% (so, a few million) given the breakdown given above.
That’s what you’re after, right?
Yes, exactly. That’s why I said “millions.”