Yeah, I read that as a cumulative case statement (and I also thought Scott made the prediction before the current explosion in counts).
I also find it really interesting living in Hungary the way that the Covid numbers are being talked about in India. The official numbers just don’t seem very bad yet. OTOH Hungary managed to top the world leagues in something everyone talks about for the first time since it lost its most suicides per capita crown to some other depressed Eastern European nation (I’m guessing that is who took it from the Hungarians), so I think my sense of how bad particular Covid numbers are is skewed by living here.
We will get to stop worrying about Covid a full month earlier than the rest of the EU though, so that’s good.
Cumulative cases are still much lower, right? I assumed that “case count” meant cumulative cases, but it sounds like you’re interpreting it as daily cases, which would explain our difference. Given that Scott only gives 50% chance it seems much more likely that he meant cumulative cases too imho
See latest Covid post, it’s already much higher.
Maybe Scott means cumulative cases here?
Yeah, I read that as a cumulative case statement (and I also thought Scott made the prediction before the current explosion in counts).
I also find it really interesting living in Hungary the way that the Covid numbers are being talked about in India. The official numbers just don’t seem very bad yet. OTOH Hungary managed to top the world leagues in something everyone talks about for the first time since it lost its most suicides per capita crown to some other depressed Eastern European nation (I’m guessing that is who took it from the Hungarians), so I think my sense of how bad particular Covid numbers are is skewed by living here.
We will get to stop worrying about Covid a full month earlier than the rest of the EU though, so that’s good.
Cumulative cases are still much lower, right? I assumed that “case count” meant cumulative cases, but it sounds like you’re interpreting it as daily cases, which would explain our difference. Given that Scott only gives 50% chance it seems much more likely that he meant cumulative cases too imho