Offering money up front reduces issues with the bet proposer’s credibility as a counterparty. With your proposed scheme, that becomes an issue.
You could still offer money up front. Getting $2000 if the stars align is still much more likely than getting $150,000.
Offering money up front reduces issues with the bet proposer’s credibility as a counterparty. With your proposed scheme, that becomes an issue.
You could still offer money up front. Getting $2000 if the stars align is still much more likely than getting $150,000.