50⁄50 are the odds of A when we know nothing about A. If we know that we don’t know anything (but that we know that we don’t know), then we can infer that any statement C that is “A and B” is 25% true.
If you buy that the term “singularity” correctly implies that we won’t know anything about the world after AI reaches a certain treshold, then we know that most complex statements (statements formed of long conjunctions) won’t be true in that world.
What you know when you know nothing
50⁄50 are the odds of A when we know nothing about A. If we know that we don’t know anything (but that we know that we don’t know), then we can infer that any statement C that is “A and B” is 25% true.
If you buy that the term “singularity” correctly implies that we won’t know anything about the world after AI reaches a certain treshold, then we know that most complex statements (statements formed of long conjunctions) won’t be true in that world.