Yeah, I agree with all of that. (I didn’t realize the point about the relative sizes of reference classes until I read your reply to habryka more carefully.)
Perhaps another way to make the point about the argument for voting being stronger is that it affects your decisionmaking even if you are not altruistic. Here by stronger I mean that the argument is “more robust” or “less suspicious”.
Sure, for voting the effect on decision making is greater. I’m just suspicious of this whole idea of acausal impact, and moderate observations about effect size don’t help with that confusion. I don’t think it can apply to voting without applying to other things, so the quantitative distinction doesn’t point in a particular direction on correctness of the overall idea.
Yeah, I agree with all of that. (I didn’t realize the point about the relative sizes of reference classes until I read your reply to habryka more carefully.)
Perhaps another way to make the point about the argument for voting being stronger is that it affects your decisionmaking even if you are not altruistic. Here by stronger I mean that the argument is “more robust” or “less suspicious”.
Sure, for voting the effect on decision making is greater. I’m just suspicious of this whole idea of acausal impact, and moderate observations about effect size don’t help with that confusion. I don’t think it can apply to voting without applying to other things, so the quantitative distinction doesn’t point in a particular direction on correctness of the overall idea.