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Cognitive mistakes I’ve made about COVID-19

DanielFilanDec 27, 2020, 12:50 AM

45 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

Great minds might not think alike

Eric NeymanDec 26, 2020, 7:51 PM

310 points

45 comments11 min readLW link

(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Moral intuitions are surprisingly variable

Bob BakerDec 26, 2020, 7:50 PM

22 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

An open Christmas card to my brothers

KatjaGraceDec 26, 2020, 12:00 PM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Can we model technological singularity as the phase transition?

Valentin2026Dec 26, 2020, 3:20 AM

4 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] What evidence will tell us about the new strain? How are you updating?

ZviDec 25, 2020, 9:37 PM

83 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the unwritten rules of academia?

YitzDec 25, 2020, 3:33 PM

16 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What trade should we make if we’re all getting the new COVID strain?

Jacob FalkovichDec 25, 2020, 7:09 AM

79 points

73 comments1 min readLW link

Open Christmas card to my father

KatjaGraceDec 25, 2020, 6:40 AM

7 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Netflix’s “Start-Up” and sincere work dramatization

Maxwell PetersonDec 25, 2020, 5:32 AM

17 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

Notes on Moderation, Balance, & Harmony

David GrossDec 25, 2020, 2:44 AM

9 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

A few predictions

Tim LiptrotDec 25, 2020, 1:27 AM

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are intuitive ways for presenting certainty/confidence in continuous variable inferences (i.e. numerical predictions)?

George3d6Dec 25, 2020, 12:55 AM

4 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

A breakdown of priors and posteriors—an example from medicine

masasinDec 24, 2020, 11:35 PM

8 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

(old.reddit.com)

Defusing AGI Danger

Mark XuDec 24, 2020, 10:58 PM

48 points

9 comments9 min readLW link

Operationalizing compatibility with strategy-stealing

evhubDec 24, 2020, 10:36 PM

41 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

The medical test paradox: Can redesigning Bayes rule help?

habrykaDec 24, 2020, 10:08 PM

34 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.youtube.com)

Epistemology Volume of “A Map That Reflects the Territory” Set—My Personal Commentary

hamnoxDec 24, 2020, 9:34 PM

20 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

TAPs for Tutoring

Mark XuDec 24, 2020, 8:46 PM

28 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

The First Sample Gives the Most Information

Mark XuDec 24, 2020, 8:39 PM

151 points

16 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(markxu.com)

[AN #130]: A new AI x-risk podcast, and reviews of the field

Rohin ShahDec 24, 2020, 6:20 PM

8 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Covid 12/24: We’re F***ed, It’s Over

ZviDec 24, 2020, 3:10 PM

276 points

134 comments31 min readLW link 2 reviews

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Luna Lovegood and the Chamber of Secrets—Part 10

lsusrDec 24, 2020, 8:33 AM

67 points

24 comments3 min readLW link

Open Christmas card to my mother

KatjaGraceDec 24, 2020, 7:00 AM

36 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] How to practice rationality?

warrenjordanDec 23, 2020, 11:15 PM

5 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

My favorite essays of life advice

benkuhnDec 23, 2020, 11:00 PM

83 points

17 comments7 min readLW link

(www.benkuhn.net)

Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- Planning Attacks

lsusrDec 23, 2020, 9:52 PM

37 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

MIRI: 2020 Updates and Strategy

Rob BensingerDec 23, 2020, 9:27 PM

77 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(intelligence.org)

New Bucket Brigade UI

jefftkDec 23, 2020, 8:30 PM

12 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Announcing AXRP, the AI X-risk Research Podcast

DanielFilanDec 23, 2020, 8:00 PM

54 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

2019 Review Rewrite: Seeking Power is Often Robustly Instrumental in MDPs

TurnTroutDec 23, 2020, 5:16 PM

35 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

(www.lesswrong.com)

Notes on Patience & Forbearance

David GrossDec 23, 2020, 4:31 PM

11 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

Moral moralizing

KatjaGraceDec 23, 2020, 6:50 AM

12 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Second Solstice** (Europe)

RaemonDec 23, 2020, 5:44 AM

24 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Will AGI have “human” flaws?

Agustinus TheodorusDec 23, 2020, 3:43 AM

1 point

2 comments1 min readLW link

Debate update: Obfuscated arguments problem

Beth BarnesDec 23, 2020, 3:24 AM

136 points

24 comments16 min readLW link

Wholehearted choices and “morality as taxes”

Joe CarlsmithDec 23, 2020, 2:21 AM

36 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

An appeal for vitamin D supplementation as a prophylactic for coronaviruses and influenza and a simple evolutionary theory for why this is plausible.

Michael ADec 22, 2020, 7:40 PM

11 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

TAI Safety Bibliographic Database

JessRiedelDec 22, 2020, 5:42 PM

76 points

12 comments17 min readLW link

100 Tips for a Better Life

IdeopunkDec 22, 2020, 2:30 PM

458 points

130 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

What is food like?

KatjaGraceDec 22, 2020, 12:30 PM

19 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

The Best Visualizations on Every Subject

ryan_bDec 21, 2020, 10:51 PM

63 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Consciousness of abstraction

Richard_KennawayDec 21, 2020, 9:35 PM

21 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

Intake Rumble Spew

WillaDec 21, 2020, 9:25 PM

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

When life was literally full of crap

jasoncrawfordDec 21, 2020, 9:16 PM

60 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

How Lesswrong helped me make $25K: A rational pricing strategy

kareemabukhadraDec 21, 2020, 8:20 PM

50 points

21 comments3 min readLW link

parenting rules

Dave OrrDec 21, 2020, 7:48 PM

158 points

9 comments5 min readLW link

New Eliezer Yudkowsky interview on We Want MoR, the HPMOR Podcast

moridinamaelDec 21, 2020, 5:21 PM

41 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Fitness

David GrossDec 21, 2020, 4:51 PM

18 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Babble Challenge: Not-So-Future Coordination Tech

abramdemskiDec 21, 2020, 4:48 PM

29 points

3 comments1 min readLW link