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All Fore­cast­ing Is Con­di­tional Forecasting

MollyApr 18, 2025, 2:35 AM
4 points
0 comments7 min readLW link
(cuttyshark.substack.com)

One Night in Delphi

EggsApr 18, 2025, 2:17 AM
2 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

0 Mo­ti­va­tion Map­ping through In­for­ma­tion Theory

P. JoãoApr 18, 2025, 12:53 AM
7 points
0 comments26 min readLW link

The Rus­sell Con­ju­ga­tion Illuminator

TimmyMApr 17, 2025, 7:33 PM
20 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(russellconjugations.com)

How worker co-ops can help re­store so­cial trust

B JacobsApr 17, 2025, 2:14 PM
3 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(bobjacobs.substack.com)

On AI personhood

p.b.Apr 17, 2025, 12:31 PM
4 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

8 PRIME SKILLS An analisis

P. JoãoApr 17, 2025, 11:36 AM
−6 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

8 PRIME SKILLS - A sim­plified con­struc­tion from MaxEnt In­for­ma­tional Effi­ciency in 4 questions

P. JoãoApr 17, 2025, 11:04 AM
3 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Au­tomat­ing Mechanis­tic In­ter­pretabil­ity via Pro­gram Synthesis

Edy NastaseApr 17, 2025, 10:58 AM
1 point
1 comment1 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing and over­com­ing AGI apathy

Dhruv SumathiApr 17, 2025, 1:04 AM
20 points
0 comments13 min readLW link
(dhruvsumathi.substack.com)

Pro­dromes and Bio­mark­ers in Chronic Disease

sarahconstantinApr 16, 2025, 9:30 PM
23 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(sarahconstantin.substack.com)

The Prac­ti­cal Im­per­a­tive for AI Con­trol Re­search

Archana VaidheeswaranApr 16, 2025, 8:27 PM
1 point
0 comments4 min readLW link

METR’s pre­limi­nary eval­u­a­tion of o3 and o4-mini

Christopher KingApr 16, 2025, 8:23 PM
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(metr.github.io)

Mass Ex­po­sure Paradox

max-sixtyApr 16, 2025, 8:18 PM
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

GPT-4.5 is Cog­ni­tive Em­pa­thy, Son­net 3.5 is Affec­tive Empathy

JackApr 16, 2025, 7:12 PM
15 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Do­ing Pri­ori­ti­za­tion Better

arvommApr 16, 2025, 6:46 PM
3 points
1 comment19 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Kamelo: A Rule-Based Con­structed Lan­guage for Univer­sal, Log­i­cal Communication

Saif KhanApr 16, 2025, 6:44 PM
12 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

Telescoping

za3kApr 16, 2025, 5:05 PM
10 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(blog.za3k.com)

Fi­nance and AI Timelines

DALApr 16, 2025, 4:55 PM
4 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

8 PRIME SKILLS – A con­struc­tion from MaxEnt In­for­ma­tional Effi­ciency in 4 questions

P. JoãoApr 16, 2025, 4:53 PM
3 points
0 comments6 min readLW link