We need to think earlier, before too late. Nobody could exclude the possibility that the COVID would last tens of years. I did have some knowledge of genetic algorithm and understand the power of small mutation. Hope more research could be done to control/predict the consequence of mutation, as the mutation itself is not predictable.
Yandong Zhang
Karma: 7
The vaccine does not prevent the transmission (to my best knowledge, for both Delta and Omicron; I am not anti-vaccine). A simple calculation suggests that the linear contribution (reduce the death rate, etc.) provided by the vaccines was dominated by the exponential contribution of increasing R0 of the Omicron. It looks like the only equilibrium is still universal N95/other PPE, in theory.
Do you have any new thoughts after two years?
After two years, should this post get more upvotes?
Any new thoughts? It seems that the mutation of RNA is too fast.
Unfortunately, no other possible equilibrium point of the COVID evolution had been observed until now. On the contrary, more COVID variations appeared. I guess, soon or later, people as a whole will learn to use masks, and then better protection gears.
https://orgmode.org/worg/org-gtd-etc.html
I would like to recommend the emacs’ org mode and some discussion about its relationship with GTD technique.
Even (1),(2) and (3) were proven true in the future, it was not apocalyptic scenario. People only need to wear serious respirators while not at home. It was not a big deal in my opinion.
I understood that there would be strongly against toward serious respirator. A picture of kids wearing scary respirator is kind of unthinkable to me. However, it is the only equilibrium point that I did not see any scientific uncertainties.
Besides the theoretical consideration, in reality, mine workers had used respirators to protect their lung for years.
Herd immunity may not be reachable since we did not know how long the immune effects could last for infected people.
[Question] Equilibrium point of the social evolution under the selective pressure of COVID-19?
It is not a joke; Also, English is not my mother tongue. However, the above proof is the only proof of the possible ending of COVID-19 since (as I posted in another topic):
“Everybody wearing a respirator could be one of the equilibrium point of the social evolution under the COVID-19, though may be not the only one. Unfortunately, I did not figure other equilibrium point yet. To my best knowledge, nobody gives other end point of the social evolution in a rigors way. ”
If anybody could proposed other equilibrium point of social evolution, I would be more than happy.
The outlook of kids with a respiratory is kind of scary, as shown in HK. I did not see any other issue with this strategy.
Everybody wearing a respirator could be one of the equilibrium point of the social evolution under the COVID-19, though may be not the only one. Unfortunately, I did not figure other equilibrium point yet. To my best knowledge, nobody gives other end point of the social evolution in a rigors way.
In amzon, the 2097 filtering is more expensive than before. But still available.
I bought 3M respirators and filters several months ago. I did not use it since I worked from home and did not go shopping. Those devices are more cheaper than N95 mask.
If a researcher was given 1000X more data, 1000X CPU power, would he switch to a brute-force approach? I did not see the connection between “data and computation power” and the brute-force models.
Such a great article! I thought the AlexNet that led to the recent AI break through could be viewed as a discontinuity too. The background and some statistics result are well summarized in below link.
The graph evolution system are of:
[a] easy to be stated
[b] Turing complete
Conway’s Game of Life also has the above two properties.
After the two horrible years, any new thoughts?