I am a Christian. If you don’t have a soul, then I can simply dismiss any persuasion you attempt on me. I don’t owe “highly-specified arrangements of matter” anything. Also, it’s weird why you would be motivated to promalgate your ideas. Do you owe arrangements of matter anything? No. When I used to think like you, I knew I didn’t owe material-onlyism anything. My secular beliefs didn’t make me more correct (or less wrong) than those with non-secular beliefs, even if my secular beliefs were true! Every belief is equal in the eyes of atoms.
Moreover, there are some bullets you, a material-onlyist, have to bite. For ex, that a star trek teletransporter teleports you, not merely a clone of you, since there is nothing materially different between the two instances of you. In the absence of any non-material distinction of identity, then two materially identical systems have the exact same identity. The clone of you is you, not a clone of you.
Here’s an easier one: if you ever say the phrase “your brain” or “my brain”, then you are revealing your inherent belief that you aren’t actually your brain, or that your brain isn’t actually you.
But you brought up Heaven specifically, so I should address your dismissal of it, or more generally the afterlife. Do you reject the soundness of the infohazard called Roko’s Basilisk? If not, then Heaven shouldn’t be so absurd/superfluous to you. How about this: you didn’t exist prior to your conception, right? Yet your nonexistence wasn’t sufficient to permanently keep you from existing. Nor will your future nonexistence be sufficient to keep you from ever existing again. Even with your current memories, etc. The question then becomes, given the highly specific material structure of your body, what method will rediscover that exact structure first? Will it be an naturalistic/unmotivated method (eg, boltzmann brain, infinite universe, etc) or will it be an artificial/motivated method (eg, God resurrecting you, Bostrom’s ancestor simulations, Roko’s Basilisk, future humans combining 200lbs of atoms into every possible configuration until they happen to get to your exact configuration, etc). Keep in mind that you aren’t just one exact material configuration, but every distinct material configuration you’ve ever been and ever will be, so repeating any one of those conformal states is sufficient to resurrect you. Again, materially speaking.
As I’ve said before, a Rationalist will eventually become a Christian. First it’s empiricism and expected utility maximization, then it’s acausal trading and anthropic measure pumping and updateless decision theory, then it’s Christianity.
I am a Rationalist. I am a Christian.
To phrase it better: You find yourself in room N, how many total rooms are there?
I know UDASSA accounts for the description length of the room address, but remember that given a number of rooms, each room will have the same description length. If there are 64 rooms, then room 1 will have address “000000” and not simply “0″ or “1”.
This way if you find yourself in a room, without knowing how many total rooms there are, and only knowing your room number, then you write it out in binary and take 2 to the bit-length of your room’s address. For ex, you find yourself in room number “100111”, 6 bits. So with 50% chance, there will be 64 rooms in total. Then you add an extra bit with 50% of the remaining measure (25%), 128 rooms, and repeat. If the payout doesn’t scale with the number of rooms, then 64 rooms would be the most profitable bet. It’s easy to test this either irl, or with a python script.
python script: https://pastebin.com/b41Sa6s6
After doing so, I got unexpected results: given your room number, the most likely number of total rooms is a number whose description length is one-bit longer than the description length of your room. Weird.