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SimonM

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How to In­ter­pret Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Prices as Probabilities

SimonMMay 9, 2023, 2:12 PM
14 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Is Me­tac­u­lus Slow to Up­date?

SimonMMar 25, 2022, 7:44 PM
75 points
9 comments2 min readLW link