Data scientist at Epoch
Robi Rahman
Karma: 51
Manhattan USA—ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2024
Data on AI
Manhattan – ACX Meetups Everywhere Spring 2024
Correction: AlphaStar used 6*10^22 FLOP, not 2*10^23. You have mixed up TPU chips and TPU boards.
Announcing Epoch’s newly expanded Parameters, Compute and Data Trends in Machine Learning database
What does McDonald’s sell in France?
Manhattan, New York, USA – ACX Meetups Everywhere Fall 2023
Ingenuous was my first thought too, but it doesn’t have the meaning I think you intended. Perhaps disingenuous?
But if your theory is found to be against the Second Law of Thermodynamics I can give you no hope; there is nothing for it to collapse in deepest humiliation. ― Arthur Eddington
I think you meant “there is nothing for it but to collapse in deepest humiliation”.
It is completely ingenious to mention only Frank for that claim
Ingenious? You mean misleading?
(LOCATION CHANGED) Manhattan, New York, USA – ACX Meetups Everywhere Spring 2023
One year later, in light of the ChatGPT internet and shell plugins, do you still think this is just a theoretical thing? Should we worry about it yet?
The fire alarm sentiment seems to have been entirely warranted, even if the plan proposed in the post wouldn’t have been helpful.
Why is the application deadline this month if the retreat is happening next summer?
Boston, MA – ACX Meetups Everywhere 2022
Astral Codex Ten Meetups Everywhere: Boston 2022
I’ll be bringing Wits & Wagers, Just One, Secret Hitler, and Innovation.
Lumifer was using the word “expected” correctly.
It’s awful that you were downvoted in this thread when you were mostly right and the others were mostly wrong. I’m updating my estimate of LW’s average intelligence downward.
No it doesn’t! A coin biased towards heads can have p(H) = 0.6, p(T) = 0.4, and each flip can be an independent trial. The total results from many flips will then be Poisson distributed.
I think the “Successful Treaty” and “Terrorists” scenarios are impossible as written.
There’s too much economic incentive to create AGI. With algorithmic and hardware progress, eventually it will become possible to make an AGI with slightly more computing hardware than a gaming laptop, and then it’ll be impossible to stop everyone from doing it.