Whatever happened to Lumina, btw? Was anyone able to see any changes in their dental health so far?
Nikita Sokolsky
Karma: 248
Side note: The original ‘chickenpox bomber’ illustration (using the Douglas F-4 Phantom) first appeared in Robert Ball’s 1985 book “The Fundamentals of Aircraft Combat Survivability Analysis and Design”, later refined in the 2nd edition from 2003. He never mentions Wald, Wallis or the SRG in the entire book, so I’m likewise convinced that the “mathematician outsmarts the military” story is pretty much BS.
Do you think this will have any impact on OpenAI’s future revenues / ability to deliver frontier-level models?
Here’s the corrected link: https://pastebin.com/B824Hk8J
Are you running this from an EC2 instance or some other cloud provider? They might just have a blocklist in IPs belonging to data centers.
Thank you! Here’s the transcript: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4kphivjxngJmEdWsN/transcript-tyler-cowen-on-stories
Sorry for not being clear. My question was whether LW really likes the nanobot story because we think it might happen within our own lifetimes. If we knew for a fact that human-destroying-nanobots would take another 100 years to develop, would discussing them still be just as interesting?
Side note: I don’t think the “sci-fi bias” concept is super coherent in my head, I wrote this post as best as I can, but I fully acknowledge that its not fully fleshed out.
Hm, are you sure they’re actually that protective against scrapers? I ran a quick script and was able to extract all 548 unique pages just fine: https://pastebin.com/B824Hk8J The final output was:
Status codes encountered: 200: 548 404: 20I reran it two more times, it still worked. I’m using a regular residential IP address, no fancy proxies. Maybe you’re just missing the code to refresh the cookies (included in my script)? I’m probably missing something of course, just curious why the scraping seems to be easy enough from my machine?
They could but if you’re managing your firewall it’s easier to apply a blanket rule rather than trying to divide things by subdomain, unless you have a good reason to do otherwise. I wouldn’t assume malicious intent.
They do have a good reason to be wary of scrapers as they provide a free version of ChatGPT, I’m guessing they just went ahead and configured it over their entire domain name rather than restricting it to the chat subdomain.
Nanobots destroying all humans at once are indeed poor sci-fi. But how much of this story’s popularity hinges on it happening within our lifetimes?
It’s essential to my ability to enjoy life
This assumes that we’ll never have the technology to change our brain’s wiring to our liking? If we live in the post-scarcity utopia, why won’t you be able to just go change who you are as a person so that you’ll fully enjoy the new world?
I’ve watched the debate and read your analysis. The Youtube channel is great, doubly so given that you’re just starting out and it will only get better from here.
Do you imagine there could be someone out there who could possibly persuade you to lower your P(doom)? In other words, do you think there could be a collection of arguments that are so convincing and powerful taken together that you’ll change your mind significantly about the risks of AGI, at least when it comes to this century?
I’ve found a new box of Dexcom G7 on Ebay for just $90, ordered it now to try it out.
I’ve checked Nutrissense and they want $250/month? Definitely way too much for a glucose meter! :)
I’ve been doing weightlifting 5-6 days a week for 14 months now and progress has been very slow, so my metabolic rate hasn’t budged all that much. But if you’re lucky and can progress faster then its a valid strategy.
Thanks, looks like Dexcom Stelo is coming out this summer that will be available without a prescription. I’ll order it as soon as its available.
What continuous glucose monitor do you recommend?
Let’s say you did have a magical fentanyl-detection machine. Unfortunately it would still be quite useless due to the fact that numerous routes exist into the country that entirely bypass border control. Sure, you won’t be able to bring truckloads of goods that way but with fentanyl all you need is a few pounds to supply the whole country for several weeks.
You don’t need to be more precise than 5 grams when measuring food so any scale will work. You also don’t need to measure low density foods like cucumbers or tomatoes—I would just enter a rough guesstimate into the app.
If you have a Substack blog, consider using Datawrapper embeds for inserting tables or charts. For some reason Substack has been somewhat hiding this cool feature as its not visible in the menu and poorly advertised but it lets you create highly customizable charts/tables for your Substack posts—and is also supported on Wordpress or in the form of an HTML embed if you have a self-hosted blog/website. I wrote a brief guideline on how to use it in my blog—and you can see cool Datawrapper embeds in Nate Silver’s substack.
Sadly Datawrapper not supported on LessWrong (yet) but LW already has native support for table embeds, so its less relevant.