Working to bring insights from the collective deliberation and digital democracy space to build tools for AI-facilitated group dialogues.
Cofounder of Mosaic Labs with @Sofia Vanhanen where we are developing Nexus, a discussion platform for improving group epistemics.
If you’re interested in this direction, or AI for epistemics more broadly, please don’t hesitate to shoot me a DM, or join our discord server!
NicholasKees
Karma: 1,401
Making the “stance” explicit
Why I take short timelines seriously
What about leaning into the word-of-mouth sharing instead, and support that with features? For example, being able to as effortlessly as possible recommend posts to people you know from within LW?
Studying The Alien Mind
I think I must be missing something. As the number of traders increases, each trader can be less risk averse as their personal wealth is now a much smaller fraction of the whole, and this changes their strategy. In what way are these individuals now not EU-maximizing?
I like this thought experiment, but I feel like this points out a flaw in the concept of CEV in general, not SCEV in particular.
If the entire future is determined by a singular set of values derived from an aggregation/extrapolation of the values of a group, then you would always run the risk of a “tyranny of the mob” kind of situation.
If in CEV that group is specifically humans, it feels like all the author is calling for is expanding the franchise/inclusion to non-humans as well.
@janus wrote a little bit about this in the final section here, particularly referencing the detection of situational awareness as a thing cyborgs might contribute to. It seems like a fairly straightforward thing to say that you would want the people overseeing AI systems to also be the ones who have the most direct experience interacting with them, especially for noticing anomalous behavior.
Direction of Fit
This post feels to me like it doesn’t take seriously the default problems with living in our particular epistemic environment. The meat and dairy industries have historically, and continue to have, a massive influence on our culture through advertisements and lobbying governments. We live in a culture where we now eat more meat than ever. What would this conversation be like if it were happening in a society where eating meat was as rare as being vegan now?
It feels like this is preaching to the choir, and picking on a very small group of people who are not as well resourced (financially or otherwise). The idea that people should be vegan by default is an extremely minority view, even in EA, and so anyone holding this position really has everything stacked against them.
Philosophical Cyborg (Part 1)
The Compleat Cybornaut
Collective Identity
This avoids spending lots of time getting confused about concepts that are confusing because they were the wrong thing to think about all along, such as “what is the shape of human values?” or “what does GPT4 want?”
These sound like exactly the sort of questions I’m most interested in answering. We live in a world of minds that have values and want things, and we are trying to prevent the creation of a mind that would be extremely dangerous to that world. These kind of questions feel to me like they tend to ground us to reality.
Try out The Most Dangerous Writing App if you are looking for ways to improve your babble. It forces you to keep writing continuously for a set amount of time, or else the text will fade and you will lose everything.
First of all, thank you so much for this post! I found it generally very convincing, but there were a few things that felt missing, and I was wondering if you could expand on them.
However, I expect that neither mechanism will produce as much of a relative jump in AI capabilities, as cultural development produced in humans. Neither mechanism would suddenly unleash an optimizer multiple orders of magnitude faster than anything that came before, as was the case when humans transitioned from biological evolution to cultural development.
Why do you expect this? Surely the difference between passive and active learning, or the ability to view and manipulate one’s own source code (or that of a successor) would be pretty enormous? Also it feels like this implicitly assumes that relatively dumb algorithms like SGD or Predictive-processing/hebbian-learning will not be improved upon during such a feedback loop.
On the topic of alignment, it feels like many of the techniques you mention are not at all good candidates, because they focus on correcting bad behavior as it appears. It seems like we mainly have a problem if powerful superhuman capabilities arrive before we have robustly aligned a system to good values. Currently, none of those methods have (as far as I can tell) any chance of scaling up, in particular because at some point we won’t be able apply corrective pressures to a model that has decided to deceive us. Do we have any examples of a system where we apply corrective pressure early to instill some values, and then scale up performance without needing to continue to apply more corrective pressure?
Are you lost and adrift, looking at the looming danger from AI and wondering how you can help? Are you feeling overwhelmed by the size and complexity of the problem, not sure where to start or what to do next?
I can’t promise a lot, but if you reach out to me personally I commit to doing SOMETHING to help you help the world. Furthermore, if you are looking for specific things to do, I also have a long list of projects that need doing and questions that need answering.
I spent so many years of my life just upskilling, because I thought I needed to be an expert to help. The truth is, there are no experts, and no time to become one. Please don’t hesitate to reach out <3
NicholasKees’s Shortform
Natural language is more interpretable than the inner processes of large transformers.
There’s certainly something here, but it’s tricky because this implicitly assumes that the transformer is using natural language in the same way that a human is. I highly recommend these posts if you haven’t read them already:
It’s been a while since I read about this, but I think your slavery example might be a bit misleading. If I’m not mistaken, the movement to abolish slavery initially only gained serious steam in the United Kingdom. Adam Hochschild tells a story in Bury the Chains that makes the abolition of slavery look extremely contingent on the role activists played in shaping the UK political climate. A big piece of this story is how the UK used their might as a global superpower to help force an end to the transatlantic slave trade (as well as precedent setting).