decision makers rarely know any math IME.
nazgulnarsil
Karma: 1,548
I was under the impression that an IQ of 145 puts one in the 99.75% percentile but I never investigated too closely. Some stats:
″ rarity on a 15 SD (e.g. Wechsler) and 16 SD (e.g. Stanford-Binet) scale: 145 99.8650032777% 1 in 741
99.7542037453% 1 in 407
I don’t remember the exact quote or source, but I once read something along the lines of “humans don’t prove anything, we just decide which side of the argument we will hold to a higher standard of proof.”
No matter how well you atomize a proof there remains inferential gaps that gets filled by humans agreeing that something is obvious. Some are considered axiomatic, many aren’t.
the more you investigate the foundations of mathematics the more miraculous “obvious” inference jumps will become.
“Basically your brain is trolling you.”
this is somewhat circular. It works for the example but not knowing how similar two situations have to be before similar decisions produce similar utility is part of the problem.
is there no software that can help speed along video transcription?
I’m skeptical because of the huge differences in male and female dominant strategies for mating*. I think poly can work, but that a lot of people who consider themselves poly just haven’t run into a highly frictional situation yet or have put their fingers in their ear and are shouting “lalalala”.
*I should note that I’m also extremely skeptical of monogamy. The situation that makes men and women happiest seems to involve some (sometimes a lot) of unhappiness in their partners.
starting strength.
drink milk.
by the time you stop getting gains through this method you will be in amazing shape.
I rarely if ever downvote someone’s initial post on a conversation branch, even if poorly formed. I’ll ask them to clarify their position and if they have a massive rationality failure in their response to this THEN I downvote.
I really like the phrase “More is Possible.”
lists of friendliness conditions are known to be stupid. this is an obvious failure mode.
I start attendance there this semester as well. Meet in the CS club room initially then figure out something from there?
As for meetups in the area you know about the mountain view meetup 15 minutes away yes?
strange that was downvoted with no explanation.
I’m not saying buffet isn’t a good investor. Just that he is far less good than the popular narrative. Investor success follows a pareto distribution. There’s always going to be someone like Buffet.
If I start flipping a coin and half the population guesses heads and half tails and I eliminate the half that guesses wrong, I will eventually wind up with one person with an unprecedented prediction streak.
There are 2 such schools in San Jose. Anyone else in the area interested?
Nobody engages the topic seriously besides perhaps a handful of bloggers on the internet. To talk about the topic intelligently requires rare traits. An extremely broad swath of knowledge about econ and history, and the ability to not be mind-killed by politics chief among them.
With regard to great achievements enable bad government, yes you find strains of this thought in most of the “cyclical” types of historical analysis, most famous being Spengler.