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Liron

Karma: 4,280

Prac­tic­ing Bayesian Episte­mol­ogy with “Two Boys” Prob­a­bil­ity Puzzles

LironJan 2, 2025, 4:42 AM
43 points
14 comments6 min readLW link

Is P(Doom) Mean­ingful? Bayesian vs. Pop­pe­rian Episte­mol­ogy Debate

LironNov 9, 2024, 11:39 PM
5 points
0 comments124 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Robin Han­son AI X-Risk De­bate — High­lights and Analysis

LironJul 12, 2024, 9:31 PM
46 points
7 comments45 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Robin Han­son & Liron Shapira De­bate AI X-Risk

LironJul 8, 2024, 9:45 PM
34 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Paus­ing AI is Pos­i­tive Ex­pected Value

LironMar 10, 2024, 5:10 PM
9 points
2 comments3 min readLW link
(twitter.com)

Goal-Com­plete­ness is like Tur­ing-Com­plete­ness for AGI

LironDec 19, 2023, 6:12 PM
51 points
26 comments3 min readLW link

Con­tra Han­son on AI Risk

LironMar 4, 2023, 8:02 AM
36 points
23 comments8 min readLW link

Robin Han­son’s lat­est AI risk po­si­tion statement

LironMar 3, 2023, 2:25 PM
55 points
18 comments1 min readLW link
(www.overcomingbias.com)

[Question] Best re­source to go from “typ­i­cal smart tech-savvy per­son” to “per­son who gets AGI risk ur­gency”?

LironOct 15, 2022, 10:26 PM
16 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Scott Aaron­son and Steven Pinker De­bate AI Scaling

LironJun 28, 2022, 4:04 PM
37 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(scottaaronson.blog)

Naval Ravikant and Chris Dixon Didn’t Ex­plain Any Web3 Use Cases

LironOct 29, 2021, 9:54 PM
16 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Chris Dixon’s Crypto Claims are Log­i­cally Flimsy

LironSep 26, 2021, 9:50 PM
16 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(medium.com)

See­ing Sta­tus Quo Bias

LironMar 8, 2021, 12:24 AM
27 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Dis­solv­ing the Prob­lem of Induction

LironDec 27, 2020, 5:58 PM
40 points
32 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Are air­craft car­ri­ers su­per vuln­er­a­ble in a mod­ern war?

LironSep 20, 2020, 6:52 PM
18 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Ti­tan (the Wealth­front of ac­tive stock pick­ing) - What’s the catch?

LironAug 6, 2020, 1:06 AM
10 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

As­set Prices Con­sis­tently Vio­late Effi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

LironJul 28, 2020, 2:21 PM
11 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(lt3000.blogspot.com)

Half-Baked Prod­ucts and Idea Kernels

LironJun 24, 2020, 1:00 AM
63 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Liron’s Shortform

LironJun 9, 2020, 12:27 PM
7 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How does pub­lish­ing a pa­per work?

LironMay 21, 2020, 12:14 PM
42 points
5 comments1 min readLW link