I remember someone here perhaps a year ago had suggested the 1965 flick Flight Of The Phoenix and were trying to maybe get some kind of online rationalist movie club off the ground, though seems perhaps they’ve deleted their post since searching just now didn’t seem to turn it up.
jam_brand
Karma: 139
Here’s an example for you: I used to turn the faucet on while going to the bathroom, thinking it was due simply to having a preference for somewhat-masking the sound of my elimination habits from my housemates, then one day I walked into the bathroom listening to something-or-other via earphones and forgetting to turn the faucet on only to realize about halfway through that apparently I actually didn’t much care about such masking, previously being able to hear myself just seemed to trigger some minor anxiety about it I’d failed to recognize, though its absence was indeed quite recognizable—no aural self-perception, no further problem (except for a brief bit of disorientation from the mental-whiplash of being suddenly confronted with the reality that in a small way I wasn’t actually quite the person I thought I was), not even now on the rare occasion that I do end up thinking about such things mid-elimination anyway.
The person whose tweets were linked above when mentioning “they become Zealots, doing lasting damage to their lives, and then burning out spectacularly.”
Before I read the aphoristic three-word reply to you from Richard Kennaway (admittedly a likely even clearer-cut way to indicate the following sentiment), I was thinking that to downplay any unintended implications about the magnitude of your probabilities that you could maybe say something about your tracking being for mundane-vigilance or intermittent-map-maintenance or routine-reality-syncing / -surveying / -sampling reasons.
For any audience you anticipate familiarity with this essay though, another idea might be to use a version of something like:
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on [by default][and {also} tracking <for posterity>].”
(spoilered section below just corrals a ~dozen expansions / embellishments of the above)
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on and tracking.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on and tracking for posterity.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on and also tracking.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default and tracking.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default and tracking for posterity.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default and also tracking.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default and will track mindfully for posterity.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default (mindfully though—and so will also just track as a matter of course).”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on by default (mindfully though, so tracking then for posterity).”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on and will track mindfully for posterity.”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on (mindfully though—and so will also just track as a matter of course).”
“The plumber says it’s fixed, which I’m splitting on (mindfully though, so tracking then for posterity).”
While we’re on the topic of amending standard Mafia, I suppose I’ll also mention that implementing Robin Hanson’s EquaTalk might make for an interesting game as well.
Since you’ve not mentioned a specific brand, to make it potentially even easier for people to grab something they might like I suppose I’ll go ahead and link to the following (which appeared many moons ago in a product-recommendation post on SSC), though note it’s a bit less sugary than the one above, i.e. just 7g/Tbsp: https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/B00CMGRNAK
Among other things I suppose they’re not super up on that to efficiently colonise the universe [...] watch dry paint stay dry.
Here’s a video
It’s also written up on Cognitive Revolution’s substack for those that prefer text.
Here’s the post about it: AI presidents discuss AI alignment agendas
clicked first relative to receiving are the same person! And also that person is from the majority group
A majority member being the initial clicker also isn’t terribly surprising because a group being larger means one-or-more of any given sort of person—in this case, a quick-responder-type—is likelier to crop up among them.
A small extra detail not mentioned: the end of the linked URL is “unilateralism=true”.
While not really answering your question, reading the description for the problem you’re having brought this exploration / taxonomy of okay-ness to mind.
Looks like the answer is yes.
Also perhaps of interest might be this discussion from the SSC subreddit awhile back where someone detailed their pro-Bigfoot case.
Serious question: would something originating adjacently from a separate Everett branch count?
(sillier-though-hopefully-not-counterproductive question: since your final statement especially would, I think, often seem to go without saying, its “needless” inclusion actually strikes me as probably-not-but-still-hypothetically-maybe worrisome—surely you’re not intending to imply that’s the only recourse allowed for being denied one’s winning lottery ticket? [or perhaps my own asking is needless since someone deciding to be a jerk and not wanting to pay could simply use such agreed-upon discretion to “fairly” declare themselves the winner anyways, in which case: sorry for the derail!])
(“Halt, Melt, and Catch Fire” is in a few posts in the Coming of Age sequence)
Interesting ending to the latest Veritasium video today. It asks “What if all the world’s biggest problems have the same solution?” and spends nearly all its time talking about AlphaFold and how AI is starting to be able to accelerate areas of research by literal decades almost overnight. Superficially this will no doubt sound positive to many people, but then—with his final words—he slips in the following: “This sounds like an amazing future… as long as the AI doesn’t take over and destroy us all first.”