CharlesD

Karma: 98

Experienced quant trader, based in London. Formerly a volunteer at Rethink Priorities, where I did some forecasting research. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/users/charles_dillon

Estimates of GPU or equivalent resources of large AI players for 2024/5

CharlesD28 Nov 2024 23:01 UTC

21 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

How does forecast quantity impact forecast quality on Metaculus?

CharlesD1 Oct 2021 19:09 UTC

8 points

0 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] What could small scale disasters from AI look like?

CharlesD31 Aug 2021 15:52 UTC

14 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

An examination of Metaculus’ resolved AI predictions and their implications for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC

28 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Data on forecasting accuracy across different time horizons and levels of forecaster experience

CharlesD27 May 2021 18:53 UTC

25 points

0 comments23 min readLW link