Are they the same people advocating for RSPs and also using compute/algorithm overhang as a primary argument against a pause? My understanding of the main argument in favor of RSPs over an immediate pause is:
Sure, we could continue to make some progress on safety if we paused other AI progress.
But:
we could make even more progress on safety if we could work with more advanced models; and
right now we have the necessary safety measures to create the next generation of models with low risk.
If AI progress continues without corresponding progress on safety, then (2.b) will no longer hold, so we should indeed pause at that time, hence the RSP.
If you believe that (2.a) and (2.b) are both true, then you can argue that RSPs are better than an immediate pause without referring to compute/algorithm overhang. If you believe that one of (2.a) and (2.b) is false, but are skeptical of a pause because you believe compute/algorithm overhang would increase risk (or at least negate the benefit), then it seems you should also be skeptical of RSPs.
Are they the same people advocating for RSPs and also using compute/algorithm overhang as a primary argument against a pause? My understanding of the main argument in favor of RSPs over an immediate pause is:
Sure, we could continue to make some progress on safety if we paused other AI progress.
But:
we could make even more progress on safety if we could work with more advanced models; and
right now we have the necessary safety measures to create the next generation of models with low risk.
If AI progress continues without corresponding progress on safety, then (2.b) will no longer hold, so we should indeed pause at that time, hence the RSP.
If you believe that (2.a) and (2.b) are both true, then you can argue that RSPs are better than an immediate pause without referring to compute/algorithm overhang. If you believe that one of (2.a) and (2.b) is false, but are skeptical of a pause because you believe compute/algorithm overhang would increase risk (or at least negate the benefit), then it seems you should also be skeptical of RSPs.