I’m sympathetic to a lot of this critique. I agree that prospective students should strive to find an advisor that is “good at producing clear, honest and high-quality research while acting in high-integrity ways around their colleagues”. There are enough of these you should be able to find one, and it doesn’t seem worth compromising.
Concretely, I’d definitely recommend digging into into an advisor’s research and asking their students hard questions prior to taking any particular PhD offer. Their absolutely are labs that prioritize publishing above all else, turn a blind eye to academic fraud or at least brush accidental non-replicability under the rug, or just have a toxic culture. You want to avoid those at all costs.
But I disagree with the punchline that if this bar isn’t satisfied then “almost any other job will be better preparation for a research career”. In particular, I think there’s a ton of concrete skills a PhD teaches that don’t need a stellar advisor. For example, there’s some remarkably simple things like having an experimental baseline, running multiple seeds and reporting confidence intervals that a PhD will absolutely drill into you. These things are remarkably often missing from research produced by those I see in the AI safety ecosystem who have not done a PhD or been closely mentored by an experienced researcher.
Additionally, I’ve seen plenty of people do PhDs under an advisor who lacks one or more of these properties and most of them turned out to be fine researchers. Hard to say what the counterfactual is, the admission process to the PhD might be doing a lot of work here, but I think it’s important to recognize the advisor is only one of many sources of mentorship and support you get in a PhD: you also have taught classes, your lab mates, your extended cohort, senior post-docs, peer review, etc. To be clear, none of these mentorship sources are perfect, but part of your job as a student is to decide who to listen to & when. If someone can’t do that then they’ll probably not get very far as a researcher no matter what environment they’re in.
Whether a PhD is something someone will enjoy is so dependent on individual personality, advisor fit, etc that I don’t feel I can offer good generalized advice. Generally I’d suggest people trying to gauge fit try doing some research in an academic environment (e.g. undergrad/MS thesis, or a brief RA stint after graduating) and talk to PhD students in their target schools. If after that you think you wouldn’t enjoy a PhD then you’re probably right!
Personally I enjoyed my PhD. I had smart & interesting colleagues, an advisor who wanted me to do high-quality research (not just publish), I had almost-complete control over how I spent my time, could explore areas I found interesting & important in depth. The compensation is low but with excellent job security and I had some savings so I lived comfortably. Unless I take a sabbatical I will probably never again have the time to go as deep into a research area so in a lot of ways I really cherish my PhD time.
I think a lot of the negatives of PhDs really feel like negatives of becoming a research lead in general. Trying to create something new with limited feedback loops is tough, and can be psychologically draining if you tie your self-worth with your work output (don’t do this! but easier said than done for the kind of person attracted to these careers). Research taste will take up many years of your life to develop—as will most complex skills. etc.