Future Fund Worldview Prize

TagLast edit: 23 Sep 2022 23:17 UTC by interstice

Why I think strong general AI is coming soon

porby28 Sep 2022 5:40 UTC

335 points

141 comments34 min readLW link 1 review

Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case

KatjaGrace14 Oct 2022 13:00 UTC

370 points

124 comments34 min readLW link 1 review

(aiimpacts.org)

What does it take to defend the world against out-of-control AGIs?

Steven Byrnes25 Oct 2022 14:47 UTC

199 points

47 comments30 min readLW link 1 review

AI will change the world, but won’t take it over by playing “3-dimensional chess”.

boazbarak and benedelman

22 Nov 2022 18:57 UTC

133 points

97 comments24 min readLW link

AI Timelines via Cumulative Optimization Power: Less Long, More Short

jacob_cannell6 Oct 2022 0:21 UTC

139 points

33 comments6 min readLW link

You are Underestimating The Likelihood That Convergent Instrumental Subgoals Lead to Aligned AGI

Mark Neyer26 Sep 2022 14:22 UTC

3 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

Loss of Alignment is not the High-Order Bit for AI Risk

yieldthought26 Sep 2022 21:16 UTC

14 points

18 comments2 min readLW link

Will Values and Competition Decouple?

interstice28 Sep 2022 16:27 UTC

15 points

11 comments17 min readLW link

AGI by 2050 probability less than 1%

fumin1 Oct 2022 19:45 UTC

−10 points

4 comments9 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

Frontline of AGI Alignment

SD Marlow4 Oct 2022 3:47 UTC

−10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(robothouse.substack.com)

Charitable Reads of Anti-AGI-X-Risk Arguments, Part 1

sstich5 Oct 2022 5:03 UTC

3 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

The probability that Artificial General Intelligence will be developed by 2043 is extremely low.

cveres6 Oct 2022 18:05 UTC

−13 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

The Lebowski Theorem — Charitable Reads of Anti-AGI-X-Risk Arguments, Part 2

sstich8 Oct 2022 22:39 UTC

1 point

10 comments7 min readLW link

Don’t expect AGI anytime soon

cveres10 Oct 2022 22:38 UTC

−14 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Updates and Clarifications

SD Marlow11 Oct 2022 5:34 UTC

−5 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

My argument against AGI

cveres12 Oct 2022 6:33 UTC

7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

A strange twist on the road to AGI

cveres12 Oct 2022 23:27 UTC

−8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

“AGI soon, but Narrow works Better”

AnthonyRepetto14 Oct 2022 21:35 UTC

1 point

9 comments2 min readLW link

All life’s helpers’ beliefs

Tehdastehdas28 Oct 2022 5:47 UTC

−12 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

“Originality is nothing but judicious imitation”—Voltaire

Vestozia23 Oct 2022 19:00 UTC

0 points

0 comments13 min readLW link

AGI in our lifetimes is wishful thinking

niknoble24 Oct 2022 11:53 UTC

0 points

25 comments8 min readLW link

Why some people believe in AGI, but I don’t.

cveres26 Oct 2022 3:09 UTC

−15 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Worldview iPeople—Future Fund’s AI Worldview Prize

Toni MUENDEL28 Oct 2022 1:53 UTC

−22 points

4 comments9 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 1/6: Historical Priors

PashaKamyshev29 Oct 2022 21:59 UTC

2 points

2 comments7 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 2/6: Behavioral Modification

PashaKamyshev30 Oct 2022 16:57 UTC

9 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 3/6: Anti-economy and Signal Pollution

PashaKamyshev31 Oct 2022 17:03 UTC

7 points

4 comments14 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 4/6: Bioweapons and Philosophy of Modification

PashaKamyshev1 Nov 2022 20:50 UTC

7 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 5/6: Relationship between C-risk and X-risk

PashaKamyshev3 Nov 2022 2:19 UTC

2 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

AI as a Civilizational Risk Part 6/6: What can be done

PashaKamyshev3 Nov 2022 19:48 UTC

2 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

Why do we post our AI safety plans on the Internet?

Peter S. Park3 Nov 2022 16:02 UTC

4 points

4 comments11 min readLW link

Review of the Challenge

SD Marlow5 Nov 2022 6:38 UTC

−14 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

When can a mimic surprise you? Why generative models handle seemingly ill-posed problems

David Johnston5 Nov 2022 13:19 UTC

8 points

4 comments16 min readLW link

Loss of control of AI is not a likely source of AI x-risk

squek7 Nov 2022 18:44 UTC

−6 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

How likely are malign priors over objectives? [aborted WIP]

David Johnston11 Nov 2022 5:36 UTC

−1 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

AGI Impossible due to Energy Constrains

TheKlaus30 Nov 2022 18:48 UTC

−11 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Transformative AGI by 2043 is <1% likely

Ted Sanders6 Jun 2023 17:36 UTC

33 points

115 comments5 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

A Fallibilist Wordview

Toni MUENDEL7 Dec 2022 20:59 UTC

−13 points

2 comments13 min readLW link

AGI is here, but nobody wants it. Why should we even care?

MGow20 Dec 2022 19:14 UTC

−22 points

0 comments17 min readLW link

Issues with uneven AI resource distribution

User_Luke24 Dec 2022 1:18 UTC

3 points

9 comments5 min readLW link

(temporal.substack.com)

AI coöperation is more possible than you think

42317524 Sep 2022 21:26 UTC

7 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

“Cotton Gin” AI Risk

42317524 Sep 2022 21:26 UTC

7 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

P(misalignment x-risk|AGI) is small #[Future Fund worldview prize]

Dibbu Dibbu24 Sep 2022 23:54 UTC

−18 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

How to Train Your AGI Dragon

Eris Discordia21 Sep 2022 22:28 UTC

−1 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

Kelsi Sober 29 Sep 2022 0:41 UTC
−2 points
Would the foundation consider awarding the future fund worldview prize to AI? Just wondering.

Kelsi Sober (804) 255-4163