David Deutsch, whose views are very much aligned with the scientific ideas generally advocated on this forum (except for his use of probabilities)
Specifically, his use of probabilities in thinking about the future, and a massive halo effect around the idea that “progress is good” (including future progress), which makes his thoughts about the future essentially useless, unfortunately. There were other serious errors I pointed out in that review you linked, one on knowability of AI’s effect on the world, that makes his thinking on powerful AI suspect as well.
Specifically, his use of probabilities in thinking about the future, and a massive halo effect around the idea that “progress is good” (including future progress), which makes his thoughts about the future essentially useless, unfortunately. There were other serious errors I pointed out in that review you linked, one on knowability of AI’s effect on the world, that makes his thinking on powerful AI suspect as well.