I’m interpreting your stance as “the probability that your hypothesis matches the evidence is bounded by the utility it would give you if your hypothesis matched the evidence.” Reductio ad absurdum: I am conscious. Tautologically true. Being conscious is to me worth a ton of utility. I should therefore disbelieve a tautology.
I’m interpreting your stance as “the probability that your hypothesis matches the evidence is bounded by the utility it would give you if your hypothesis matched the evidence.” Reductio ad absurdum: I am conscious. Tautologically true. Being conscious is to me worth a ton of utility. I should therefore disbelieve a tautology.