Any reasoning is based on some assumptions and it is not a problem. We may list these assumptions and convert the into constrains of the model (with some probabilities).
Ok, lets try to prove the opposite thing.
Firstly, Kant in “Critiques of pure reason” explored these topics of the universe infinity in space in time and find that both propositions could be equally proved (finite and infinite), from which he concluded that the topics can’t be solved and is beyond human knowledge. However, Kant suggested on the margins one more proof of modal realism (I cite here by memory): “If a thing is possible in all aspects, there is no difference between it and real thing”.
The strongest argument against the existence of everything is non-randmoness of our experiences. If I am randomly selected from all possible minds, my observations should be very chaotic as most random minds are just random. There are several conter-arguments here: related either to chains of observer-moments converging to less random mind, or different measure of different minds, or that selection process of self-aware minds is a source of antirandomness, or that we in fact are random but can’t observe it, of that the internal structure of an observer is something like a convolutional neural net where randomness is concentrated to inputs and “order” to output. I will not elaborate these arguments here as it will be very long.
Another line of reasoning is connected with idea of actuality. In it, only me-now is real, and everything else is just possible. This line of reasoning is plausible, but it is even more weird than modal realism.
Then again, the idea of (Christian) God which creates only a few worlds. Improbable.
During last year EA forum, the following prove of the finitness of the universe was suggested:
“1) Finite means that available compute in the quantum theoretic sense in our future light cone is finite.
2) The Bekenstein bound says the information in a region is bounded proportional to area.
3) The universe’s expnasion is accelerating, so the there is a finite region of space that determines our future light cone.
4) Quantum mechanics is reversible, so the information of our future light cone is finite.
5) Only finite compute can be done given a finite information bound without cycling.”
But it is applicable only to our universe, but not to other universes.
The strongest argument against the existence of everything is non-randmoness of our experiences. If I am randomly selected from all possible minds, my observations should be very chaotic as most random minds are just random. There are several conter-arguments here: related either to chains of observer-moments converging to less random mind, or different measure of different minds, or that selection process of self-aware minds is a source of antirandomness, or that we in fact are random but can’t observe it, of that the internal structure of an observer is something like a convolutional neural net where randomness is concentrated to inputs and “order” to output. I will not elaborate these arguments here as it will be very long
There seems to be a common pattern where you start off with an assumption that mispredicts experience , and then make a further assumption to fix the situation. But that’s one step backwards, one step forwards. You end up with a more complex theory than one that takes one step forward, and just predicts experience.
I haven’t said much about the object level issue. Im inclined to agree with the OP that anthropic probability doesn’t work. I haven’t seen you argue against small/single worlds except to quote a probability!
Any reasoning is based on some assumptions and it is not a problem
All reasoning is based on assumptions and it’s a problem, because it makes it hard to converge on beliefs, or ever settle questions.
There’s a partial solution, in that not all assumptions are equal , and not all numbers of assumptions are equal.
That’s a fairly traditional version of Occams Razor based on minimising the number, and maximising the likelihood of assumptions.
Kant suggested on the margins one more proof of modal realism (I cite here by memory): “If a thing is possible in all aspects, there is no difference between it and real thing”.
Any reasoning is based on some assumptions and it is not a problem. We may list these assumptions and convert the into constrains of the model (with some probabilities).
Ok, lets try to prove the opposite thing.
Firstly, Kant in “Critiques of pure reason” explored these topics of the universe infinity in space in time and find that both propositions could be equally proved (finite and infinite), from which he concluded that the topics can’t be solved and is beyond human knowledge. However, Kant suggested on the margins one more proof of modal realism (I cite here by memory): “If a thing is possible in all aspects, there is no difference between it and real thing”.
The strongest argument against the existence of everything is non-randmoness of our experiences. If I am randomly selected from all possible minds, my observations should be very chaotic as most random minds are just random. There are several conter-arguments here: related either to chains of observer-moments converging to less random mind, or different measure of different minds, or that selection process of self-aware minds is a source of antirandomness, or that we in fact are random but can’t observe it, of that the internal structure of an observer is something like a convolutional neural net where randomness is concentrated to inputs and “order” to output. I will not elaborate these arguments here as it will be very long.
Another line of reasoning is connected with idea of actuality. In it, only me-now is real, and everything else is just possible. This line of reasoning is plausible, but it is even more weird than modal realism.
Then again, the idea of (Christian) God which creates only a few worlds. Improbable.
During last year EA forum, the following prove of the finitness of the universe was suggested:
“1) Finite means that available compute in the quantum theoretic sense in our future light cone is finite.
2) The Bekenstein bound says the information in a region is bounded proportional to area.
3) The universe’s expnasion is accelerating, so the there is a finite region of space that determines our future light cone.
4) Quantum mechanics is reversible, so the information of our future light cone is finite.
5) Only finite compute can be done given a finite information bound without cycling.”
But it is applicable only to our universe, but not to other universes.
There seems to be a common pattern where you start off with an assumption that mispredicts experience , and then make a further assumption to fix the situation. But that’s one step backwards, one step forwards. You end up with a more complex theory than one that takes one step forward, and just predicts experience.
It looks like that you think that modal realism is false and everything possible doesn’t exist. What is the argument which convinced you in it?
I haven’t said much about the object level issue. Im inclined to agree with the OP that anthropic probability doesn’t work. I haven’t seen you argue against small/single worlds except to quote a probability!
All reasoning is based on assumptions and it’s a problem, because it makes it hard to converge on beliefs, or ever settle questions.
There’s a partial solution, in that not all assumptions are equal , and not all numbers of assumptions are equal.
That’s a fairly traditional version of Occams Razor based on minimising the number, and maximising the likelihood of assumptions.
Umm..well, suggestion, not proof.