The rule for the next round of the contest is: the entry which wins must be a copy of this sentence with the ordinal incremented, followed by the 1st letter of Abram’s best explanation of the thing he just said he doesn’t want to hint about.
Below follows my speculation about what Abram might be thinking.
My wild guess is that Abram has been thinking again about some ideas he mentioned to me years ago—stuff having to do with how we need to be able to build (or define) a system for thinking/learning that can legislate for itself rules for how to think, to avoid various molochian problems that plague e.g. logical inductors and decision markets. But the legislation needs to be sensible somehow. You need some critical mass of wisdom already to know which rules to impose. Can we construct a “seed,” some minimal starting point that will eventually bootstrap its way to a wise agent? Or is the simplest such seed insanely complicated? Going further out on a limb here, I’m guessing that while thinking about this stuff, he thought of the idea for the contest—the commenters are like traders in the market, they are collectively pretty dumb/unwise at least at first, they have this great power to legislate rules for the future… will they be able to bootstrap their way to something competent and wise? Probably not but it’s a fun game anyway.
Abram, have you heard of the game Nomic? You are basically proposing Nomic here.
The rule for the next round of the contest is: the entry which wins must be a copy of this sentence with the ordinal incremented, followed by the 1st letter of Abram’s best explanation of the thing he just said he doesn’t want to hint about.
Below follows my speculation about what Abram might be thinking.
My wild guess is that Abram has been thinking again about some ideas he mentioned to me years ago—stuff having to do with how we need to be able to build (or define) a system for thinking/learning that can legislate for itself rules for how to think, to avoid various molochian problems that plague e.g. logical inductors and decision markets. But the legislation needs to be sensible somehow. You need some critical mass of wisdom already to know which rules to impose. Can we construct a “seed,” some minimal starting point that will eventually bootstrap its way to a wise agent? Or is the simplest such seed insanely complicated? Going further out on a limb here, I’m guessing that while thinking about this stuff, he thought of the idea for the contest—the commenters are like traders in the market, they are collectively pretty dumb/unwise at least at first, they have this great power to legislate rules for the future… will they be able to bootstrap their way to something competent and wise? Probably not but it’s a fun game anyway.
Abram, have you heard of the game Nomic? You are basically proposing Nomic here.