All you need is to construct an appropriate probability space and use basic probability theory instead of inventing clever reasons why it doesn’t apply in this particular case.
I don’t see how to do that but maybe your plan is to get to that at some point
Am I missing something? How is it at all controversial?
it’s not, it’s just a modification on the usual halfer argument that “you don’t learn anything upon waking up”
I don’t see how to do that but maybe your plan is to get to that at some point
Yep, that’s exactly what I’m going to do in the post after the next one.
it’s not, it’s just a modification on the usual halfer argument that “you don’t learn anything upon waking up”
Isn’t it obvious, that the correct interpretation of “you don’t learn anything upon making up” is not about all possible settings where going to sleep and waking up happens, but about type of settings where some event happens on every outcome? That it’s just about conservation of expected evidence?
If the random generator produces outcomes O1, O2, … On and on every outcome event E always happens then observation of event E doesn’t allow to distinguish between any of the outcomes of random number generator.
I don’t see how to do that but maybe your plan is to get to that at some point
it’s not, it’s just a modification on the usual halfer argument that “you don’t learn anything upon waking up”
Yep, that’s exactly what I’m going to do in the post after the next one.
Isn’t it obvious, that the correct interpretation of “you don’t learn anything upon making up” is not about all possible settings where going to sleep and waking up happens, but about type of settings where some event happens on every outcome? That it’s just about conservation of expected evidence? If the random generator produces outcomes O1, O2, … On and on every outcome event E always happens then observation of event E doesn’t allow to distinguish between any of the outcomes of random number generator.