I think the epistemic status of the typical main post (now, standards may have been different in the past) is “believed” while the epistemic status of the original post seems to be “musing for reaction” based on your statements in this thread. I think it would be possible for it to be rewritten in such a way that fewer people would complain about it being in main without actually changing the core of the information it contains.
That is admirably precise advice, and I appreciate it. But I think Bayesians should not get into the habit of believing things. Things clear-cut enough for me to believe them are never interesting to me. In speculative matters such as the singularity, musings are more useful than provable beliefs, as they cover far more probability, and forming opinions about them will probably reduce your error by more.
I think the epistemic status of the typical main post (now, standards may have been different in the past) is “believed” while the epistemic status of the original post seems to be “musing for reaction” based on your statements in this thread. I think it would be possible for it to be rewritten in such a way that fewer people would complain about it being in main without actually changing the core of the information it contains.
That is admirably precise advice, and I appreciate it. But I think Bayesians should not get into the habit of believing things. Things clear-cut enough for me to believe them are never interesting to me. In speculative matters such as the singularity, musings are more useful than provable beliefs, as they cover far more probability, and forming opinions about them will probably reduce your error by more.