In that case, you should be able to use how strongly you anticipate the skewing to create a probability estimate.
I am not aware of any mathematical conversion between “I’m pretty sure you’re wrong” and a specific probability estimate.
In that case, you should be able to use how strongly you anticipate the skewing to create a probability estimate.
I am not aware of any mathematical conversion between “I’m pretty sure you’re wrong” and a specific probability estimate.