Of course we cannot rule out that there is some “phase transition “ and while IQ 140 is not much better than IQ 120 for being a CEO, something happens with IQ 1000 (or whatever the equivalent).
We argue why we do not expect such a phase transition. (In the sense that at least in computation, there is only one phase transition to universality and after passing it, the system is not bottlenecks by the complexity of any one unit.)
However I agree that we cannot rule it out. We’re just pointing out that there isn’t evidence for that, in contrast to the ample evidence for the usefulness of information processing for medium term tasks.
I agree there isn’t a phase transition in the technical sense, but the relevant phase transition is the breaking of the IID assumption and distribution, which essentially allow you to interpolate arbitrarily well.
Of course we cannot rule out that there is some “phase transition “ and while IQ 140 is not much better than IQ 120 for being a CEO, something happens with IQ 1000 (or whatever the equivalent).
We argue why we do not expect such a phase transition. (In the sense that at least in computation, there is only one phase transition to universality and after passing it, the system is not bottlenecks by the complexity of any one unit.)
However I agree that we cannot rule it out. We’re just pointing out that there isn’t evidence for that, in contrast to the ample evidence for the usefulness of information processing for medium term tasks.
I agree there isn’t a phase transition in the technical sense, but the relevant phase transition is the breaking of the IID assumption and distribution, which essentially allow you to interpolate arbitrarily well.