Updating your beliefs is not reflectively consistent. Roughly it is, but not precisely. You have to keep caring about counterfactuals, circumstances reached by inversion of any to every observation, so you can’t just throw away the prior where it was opposed by evidence.
Updating your beliefs is not reflectively consistent. Roughly it is, but not precisely. You have to keep caring about counterfactuals, circumstances reached by inversion of any to every observation, so you can’t just throw away the prior where it was opposed by evidence.