Yes, but as I said, there’s absolutely no evidence whatsoever that there was a government conspiracy, whereas the al-Qaeda plot has been exceedingly well documented; there’s no reason to believe that government officials had a motive, whereas Osama had repeatedly stated that he would attack the US, and had done so previously. More specifically:
Similarly, there honestly weren’t any particularly large problems Bush needed to distract the public from; polling showed that he had 55% approval, and just 41% disapproval; this had been fairly steady, and, as a comparison, was higher than Obama’s at the same point in his presidency, even though Obama won by a much larger margin.
Finally, that vastly underestimates the difficulty of keeping false-flag operations secret.
One last point is that I may have confused you about what I’m calling “priors”; I’m referring solely to the priors for the claims rysade brought up, regarding the actual mechanics of the destruction, which include the stuff I brought up in my first section above as evidence. I agree that the priors for any terrorist attack in the US being a false flag operation are somewhat higher than the posteriors given the above evidence- thus the fact that I posted the above evidence.
Yes, but as I said, there’s absolutely no evidence whatsoever that there was a government conspiracy, whereas the al-Qaeda plot has been exceedingly well documented; there’s no reason to believe that government officials had a motive, whereas Osama had repeatedly stated that he would attack the US, and had done so previously. More specifically:
Remember, Bush explicitly wanted to focus on domestic policy, promised a humble foreign policy, with no nationbuilding, and criticized Clinton/Gore for running too interventionist foreign policy. It’s only hindsight bias that makes us think that Bush wanted a war. It’s true that Bush later changed his policy. But he wouldn’t claim that he opposed war during his campaign, when he’d need donations, and then support it during his presidency, when public/congressional support mattered more.
Similarly, there honestly weren’t any particularly large problems Bush needed to distract the public from; polling showed that he had 55% approval, and just 41% disapproval; this had been fairly steady, and, as a comparison, was higher than Obama’s at the same point in his presidency, even though Obama won by a much larger margin.
Finally, that vastly underestimates the difficulty of keeping false-flag operations secret.
One last point is that I may have confused you about what I’m calling “priors”; I’m referring solely to the priors for the claims rysade brought up, regarding the actual mechanics of the destruction, which include the stuff I brought up in my first section above as evidence. I agree that the priors for any terrorist attack in the US being a false flag operation are somewhat higher than the posteriors given the above evidence- thus the fact that I posted the above evidence.