Hello again, I put your consideration into this section. Basically, if you trust yourself completely & are younger than 26 years, wait until you’re 26 (but the benefit is tiny), otherwise, it’s still optimal to sign up now.
Thanks! I think I would have guessed that the optimal signup is around age 35-55 so this motivates me to dig closer into your model to see if I disagree with some parameter or modeling assumption (alternatively, I would be able to fix some mistaken intuition that I have). I’ve made a note to myself to come back to this when I have more free time.
After improving the cost-benefit analysis in multiple small ways (e.g. adding more fleshed out x-risk concerns), it is actually optimal to sign up at age 50if one has complete self-trust. If one doesn’t have complete self-trust, signing up immediately is still optimal.
Hello again, I put your consideration into this section. Basically, if you trust yourself completely & are younger than 26 years, wait until you’re 26 (but the benefit is tiny), otherwise, it’s still optimal to sign up now.
Thanks! I think I would have guessed that the optimal signup is around age 35-55 so this motivates me to dig closer into your model to see if I disagree with some parameter or modeling assumption (alternatively, I would be able to fix some mistaken intuition that I have). I’ve made a note to myself to come back to this when I have more free time.
After improving the cost-benefit analysis in multiple small ways (e.g. adding more fleshed out x-risk concerns), it is actually optimal to sign up at age 50 if one has complete self-trust. If one doesn’t have complete self-trust, signing up immediately is still optimal.
If you have any questions, don’t hesitate to shoot me a message.