MIRI full-time employed many critics of bayesianism for 5+ years and MIRI researchers themselves argued most of the points you made in these arguments. It is obviously not the case that critiquing bayesianism is the reason why you got blocked.
Idk, maybe you’ve got a point, but Eliezer was very quick to insist what I said was not the mainstream view and disengage. And MIRI was full of internal distrust. I don’t know enough of the situation to know if this explains it, but it seems plausible to me that the way MIRI kept stuff together was by insisting on a Bayesian approach, and that some generators of internal dissent was from people whose intuition aligned more with non-Bayesian approach.
For that matter, an important split in rationalism is MIRI/CFAR vs the Vassarites, and while I wouldn’t really say the Vassarites formed a major inspiration for LDSL, after coming up with LDSL I’ve totally reevaluated my interpretation of that conflict as being about MIRI/CFAR using a Bayesian approach and the Vassarites using an LDSL approach. (Not absolutely of course, everyone has a mixture of both, but in terms of relative differences.)
MIRI full-time employed many critics of bayesianism for 5+ years and MIRI researchers themselves argued most of the points you made in these arguments. It is obviously not the case that critiquing bayesianism is the reason why you got blocked.
Idk, maybe you’ve got a point, but Eliezer was very quick to insist what I said was not the mainstream view and disengage. And MIRI was full of internal distrust. I don’t know enough of the situation to know if this explains it, but it seems plausible to me that the way MIRI kept stuff together was by insisting on a Bayesian approach, and that some generators of internal dissent was from people whose intuition aligned more with non-Bayesian approach.
For that matter, an important split in rationalism is MIRI/CFAR vs the Vassarites, and while I wouldn’t really say the Vassarites formed a major inspiration for LDSL, after coming up with LDSL I’ve totally reevaluated my interpretation of that conflict as being about MIRI/CFAR using a Bayesian approach and the Vassarites using an LDSL approach. (Not absolutely of course, everyone has a mixture of both, but in terms of relative differences.)