Agreed. The doom is the end of the reference class, not a bang. And if SSA-based DA is universally refuted so that no one ever even try to think in that direction, then it is the end of this type of thinking. I looked at Google Scholar and found that the number of articles about DA peaked around 2000s and is now declining. It suggests that the interest to the problem is declining.
However, if we will exist for a very long time, there will be a few observers every millennia who still like the SSA and, for billions years, there should be many of them, more than now living SSA-believers. In that case, I am still more likely to find myself in remote future, not now – and as I am not there, I am surprised. Thus DA still predicts bang even if we assume that it will be refuted.
Agreed. The doom is the end of the reference class, not a bang. And if SSA-based DA is universally refuted so that no one ever even try to think in that direction, then it is the end of this type of thinking. I looked at Google Scholar and found that the number of articles about DA peaked around 2000s and is now declining. It suggests that the interest to the problem is declining.
However, if we will exist for a very long time, there will be a few observers every millennia who still like the SSA and, for billions years, there should be many of them, more than now living SSA-believers. In that case, I am still more likely to find myself in remote future, not now – and as I am not there, I am surprised. Thus DA still predicts bang even if we assume that it will be refuted.