This may be not factually true, btw, - current LLMs can create good models of past people without running past simulation of their previous life explicitly.
Yup, I agree.
It is a variant of Doomsday argument. This idea is even more controversial than simulation argument. There is no future with many people in it.
This makes my case even stronger! Basically, if a Friendly AI has no issues with simulating conscious beings in general, then we have good reasons to expect it to simulate more observers in blissful worlds than in worlds like ours.
If the Doomsday Argument tells us that Friendly AI didn’t simulate more observers in blissful worlds than in worlds like ours, then that gives us even more reasons to think that we are not being simulated by a Friendly AI in the way that you have described.
Yup, I agree.
This makes my case even stronger! Basically, if a Friendly AI has no issues with simulating conscious beings in general, then we have good reasons to expect it to simulate more observers in blissful worlds than in worlds like ours.
If the Doomsday Argument tells us that Friendly AI didn’t simulate more observers in blissful worlds than in worlds like ours, then that gives us even more reasons to think that we are not being simulated by a Friendly AI in the way that you have described.