I think this one (and perhaps better operationalizations) should probably have many eyes on it:
I also have this market for GPQA, on a longer time-horizon:
https://manifold.markets/NiplavYushtun/will-the-gap-between-openweights-an
I think this one (and perhaps better operationalizations) should probably have many eyes on it:
I also have this market for GPQA, on a longer time-horizon:
https://manifold.markets/NiplavYushtun/will-the-gap-between-openweights-an