(cross-posted from https://x.com/BogdanIonutCir2/status/1844451247925100551, among others)
I’m concerned things might move much faster than most people expected, because of automated ML (figure from OpenAI’s recent MLE-bench: Evaluating Machine Learning Agents on Machine Learning Engineering, basically showing automated ML engineering performance scaling as more inference compute is used):
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wr2SxQuRvcXeDBbNZ/bogdan-ionut-cirstea-s-shortform?commentId=dyndDEn9qqdt9Mhx2
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wr2SxQuRvcXeDBbNZ/bogdan-ionut-cirstea-s-shortform?commentId=groxciBxma5cgay7L
(cross-posted from https://x.com/BogdanIonutCir2/status/1844451247925100551, among others)
I’m concerned things might move much faster than most people expected, because of automated ML (figure from OpenAI’s recent MLE-bench: Evaluating Machine Learning Agents on Machine Learning Engineering, basically showing automated ML engineering performance scaling as more inference compute is used):
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wr2SxQuRvcXeDBbNZ/bogdan-ionut-cirstea-s-shortform?commentId=dyndDEn9qqdt9Mhx2
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wr2SxQuRvcXeDBbNZ/bogdan-ionut-cirstea-s-shortform?commentId=groxciBxma5cgay7L