The reference class problem could be avoided by saying “Signing up for cryonics does not maximize your (the reader’s) expected utility.” The reference class then emerges naturally.
Also: that also means that I should change the probability I assigned, but not significantly. I’d have to think about some of your arguments from your Abnormal Cryonics post a bit more.
The reference class problem could be avoided by saying “Signing up for cryonics does not maximize your (the reader’s) expected utility.” The reference class then emerges naturally.
Yes, that would seem to solve the problem. Fixed.
Also: that also means that I should change the probability I assigned, but not significantly. I’d have to think about some of your arguments from your Abnormal Cryonics post a bit more.