What do you mean by this? Do you mean “a non-negligible fraction of my measure is in a simulation” in which case you’re almost certainly right. Or do you mean “this particular instantiation of me is in a simulation” in which case I’m not sure what it means to assign a probability to the statement.
What do you mean by this? Do you mean “a non-negligible fraction of my measure is in a simulation” in which case you’re almost certainly right. Or do you mean “this particular instantiation of me is in a simulation” in which case I’m not sure what it means to assign a probability to the statement.
So you know which I must have meant, then. I do try to be almost certainly right. ;)
(Technically, we shouldn’t really be thinking about probabilities here either because it’s not important and may be meaningless decision theoretically, but I think LW is generally too irrational to have reached the level of sophistication such that many would pick that nit.)
What do you mean by this? Do you mean “a non-negligible fraction of my measure is in a simulation” in which case you’re almost certainly right. Or do you mean “this particular instantiation of me is in a simulation” in which case I’m not sure what it means to assign a probability to the statement.
So you know which I must have meant, then. I do try to be almost certainly right. ;)
(Technically, we shouldn’t really be thinking about probabilities here either because it’s not important and may be meaningless decision theoretically, but I think LW is generally too irrational to have reached the level of sophistication such that many would pick that nit.)