I think that both of you are correct: Eliezer should have DMed Quintin Pope instead, and Eliezer hasn’t noticed that actual arguments were given, and that it sounds like an excuse to ignore disconfirming evidence.
This crystallizes a thought I had about Eliezer: Eliezer has increasingly terrible epistemics on AI doom, and a person should ignore Eliezer’s arguments, since they won’t ever update towards optimism, even if it’s warranted, and has real issues engaging people he doesn’t share his views and don’t give bad arguments.
I think that both of you are correct: Eliezer should have DMed Quintin Pope instead, and Eliezer hasn’t noticed that actual arguments were given, and that it sounds like an excuse to ignore disconfirming evidence.
This crystallizes a thought I had about Eliezer: Eliezer has increasingly terrible epistemics on AI doom, and a person should ignore Eliezer’s arguments, since they won’t ever update towards optimism, even if it’s warranted, and has real issues engaging people he doesn’t share his views and don’t give bad arguments.