This criticism has been made for the last 40 years and people have usually had new ideas and were able to execute them. Thus, on priors, we think this trend will continue even if we don’t know exactly which kind of ideas they will be.
In fact, due to our post, we were made aware of a couple of interesting ideas about chip improvements that we hadn’t considered before that might change the outcome of our predictions (towards later limits) but we haven’t included them in the model yet.
This criticism has been made for the last 40 years and people have usually had new ideas and were able to execute them. Thus, on priors, we think this trend will continue even if we don’t know exactly which kind of ideas they will be.
In fact, due to our post, we were made aware of a couple of interesting ideas about chip improvements that we hadn’t considered before that might change the outcome of our predictions (towards later limits) but we haven’t included them in the model yet.