I think in your treatment between different monotheistic gods there would be evidence that would favour one god over another even if both start similarly dysmally low. However if you had two gods and they are indistinguishable from aliens then they should not be distinguishable from each other. I guess there are two senses in that in “evidence we currently have” vs “evidence that could ever exist”. Like I would think that god hypothesis would not have increased probability for flying saucers. But if god doesn’t raise the expectation of saucers does god raise the expectation of anything? If it doesn’t raise the expectation of anything then there is nothing to disagree about because we don’t mean anything.
I think in your treatment between different monotheistic gods there would be evidence that would favour one god over another even if both start similarly dysmally low. However if you had two gods and they are indistinguishable from aliens then they should not be distinguishable from each other. I guess there are two senses in that in “evidence we currently have” vs “evidence that could ever exist”. Like I would think that god hypothesis would not have increased probability for flying saucers. But if god doesn’t raise the expectation of saucers does god raise the expectation of anything? If it doesn’t raise the expectation of anything then there is nothing to disagree about because we don’t mean anything.