Well said. I agree with all of these except the last one and the gradual model release one (I think the update should be that letting the public interact with models is great, but whether to do it gradually or in a ‘lumpy’ way is unclear. E.g. arguably ChatGPT3.5 should have been delayed until 2023 alongside GPT4. That would have pushed back the acceleration of e.g. GDM a few more months, without (IMO) any harm to public wake-up.)
E.g. arguably ChatGPT3.5 should have been delayed until 2023 alongside GPT4. That would have pushed back the acceleration of e.g. GDM a few more months, without (IMO) any harm to public wake-up.)
That would have pushed back public wakeup equally though, because it was ChatGPT3.5 that caused the wakeup.
Did anyone at OpenAI explicitly say that a factor in their release cadence was getting the public to wake up about the pace of AI research and start demanding regulation? Because this seems more like a post hoc rationalization for the release policy than like an actual intended outcome.
As we create successively more powerful systems, we want to deploy them and gain experience with operating them in the real world. We believe this is the best way to carefully steward AGI into existence—a gradual transition to a world with AGI is better than a sudden one. We expect powerful AI to make the rate of progress in the world much faster, and we think it’s better to adjust to this incrementally.
A gradual transition gives people, policymakers, and institutions time to understand what’s happening, personally experience the benefits and downsides of these systems, adapt our economy, and to put regulation in place. It also allows for society and AI to co-evolve, and for people collectively to figure out what they want while the stakes are relatively low.
And Sam has been pretty vocal in pushing for regulation in general.
Well said. I agree with all of these except the last one and the gradual model release one (I think the update should be that letting the public interact with models is great, but whether to do it gradually or in a ‘lumpy’ way is unclear. E.g. arguably ChatGPT3.5 should have been delayed until 2023 alongside GPT4. That would have pushed back the acceleration of e.g. GDM a few more months, without (IMO) any harm to public wake-up.)
I especially want to reemphasize your point 2.
That would have pushed back public wakeup equally though, because it was ChatGPT3.5 that caused the wakeup.
Did anyone at OpenAI explicitly say that a factor in their release cadence was getting the public to wake up about the pace of AI research and start demanding regulation? Because this seems more like a post hoc rationalization for the release policy than like an actual intended outcome.
See Sam Altman here:
And Sam has been pretty vocal in pushing for regulation in general.
It would have pushed it back, but then the extra shock of going straight to ChatGPT4 would have made up for it I think. Not sure obviously.
then chatgpt4 would still have had low rate limits, so most people would still be more informed by ChatGPT3.5